Best Predict Markets This Week - March 11, 2026

Welcome to this week's PREDICT picks, where we break down the most exciting prediction markets available on Duelbits Predict. This is a week where sport truly delivers. The Champions League Round of 16 reaches its dramatic conclusion with Wednesday's first legs and next Tuesday's second legs — Real Madrid vs Manchester City, PSG vs Chelsea, and Arsenal vs Leverkusen headline the most anticipated knockout ties in years. The Players Championship takes over TPC Sawgrass from Thursday with 46 of the world's top 50 golfers in the field, the Oscars ceremony takes place on Sunday, and there's Europa League and Premier League Darts action on Thursday.

Tuesday's first legs already produced fireworks. Bayern Munich dismantled Atalanta 6-1, Atlético Madrid thumped Tottenham 5-2, Galatasaray edged Liverpool 1-0, and Newcastle drew 1-1 with Barcelona after Lamine Yamal's stoppage-time penalty. Now the focus shifts to Wednesday's blockbusters and next week's second legs.

Champions League Round of 16: Wednesday's Blockbusters

Wednesday, March 11th brings four first-leg ties that include some of the most mouthwatering matchups European football has seen in years. Arsenal went through the league phase with a perfect record of eight wins, zero draws and zero losses, making them the team to beat.

The Wednesday fixtures: Leverkusen vs Arsenal (18:45 CET), Bodø/Glimt vs Sporting CP, PSG vs Chelsea, and Real Madrid vs Manchester City (all 21:00 CET).

There are questions surrounding Kylian Mbappé, who is dealing with knee discomfort, adding uncertainty to Real Madrid's clash with City. Mbappé leads the Champions League scoring charts with 13 goals, so his availability could be decisive.

For traditional match odds, in-play betting, and player props on all Champions League ties, check out Duelbits Sportsbook.

Wednesday Goals Specials (8pm UTC Games)

Market: UCL Wednesday Goals Specials

Three 8pm UTC games: PSG vs Chelsea, Real Madrid vs Man City, Bodø/Glimt vs Sporting.

  • Over 9.5 goals: 1.95 / Under: 1.85
  • Over 11.5 goals: 3.60 / Under: 1.30
  • Over 13.5 goals: 8.00 / Under: 1.07
  • All 6 teams to score: 3.75
  • Goal in the first 5 minutes of any game: 2.60
  • Goal in the first half of each game: 2.00
  • Goal in both halves of each game: 3.75
  • VAR to overturn any goal: Yes 3.00 / No 1.40

After Tuesday's 14 goals across four matches, Wednesday could deliver a similar avalanche. The 9.5 line at 1.95 is essentially a coin flip — three high-profile games averaging just over three goals each would get you there.

Wednesday Corners & Cards (8pm UTC Games)

Market: UCL Wednesday Corners & Cards Specials

  • Over 29.5 corners: 1.95 / Under: 1.85
  • Over 31.5 corners: 2.80 / Under: 1.45
  • Over 6.5 corners in each match: 1.50
  • Each team to take over 2.5 corners: 2.35
  • Over 12.5 cards: 1.85 / Under: 1.90
  • Over 14.5 cards: 3.10 / Under: 1.33
  • A red card in any match: 2.25 / No red cards: 1.60

Real Madrid vs Man City is the kind of heavyweight clash where tactical fouls pile up and cards flow freely. A red card at 2.25 is strong value across three elimination-pressure matches.

Wednesday Shots on Target (8pm UTC Games)

Market: UCL Wednesday Shots on Target Specials

  • Over 29.5 shots on target: 1.90 / Under: 1.90
  • Over 31.5 shots on target: 2.75 / Under: 1.44
  • Over 6.5 shots on target in each match: 1.50
  • Each team to have over 2.5 shots on target: 2.40

Wednesday Fouls Specials (8pm UTC Games)

Market: UCL Wednesday Fouls Specials

  • Over 72.5 fouls: 1.90 / Under: 1.90
  • Each team over 7.5 fouls: 1.65
  • Over 19.5 fouls in each game: 1.70
  • Each team over 2.5 fouls in each half: 2.00

How Many English Teams in the UCL Quarters?

Market: How many English teams will reach the UCL quarter-finals?

  • Exactly 4: 3.30
  • Exactly 3: 3.50
  • 4 or more: 2.00
  • 5 or more: 4.50
  • Exactly 2: 7.00

After Tuesday's results, Tottenham face an almost impossible task overturning a 5-2 deficit against Atlético, while Liverpool must overturn a 1-0 loss in Istanbul. Arsenal, Chelsea, and Newcastle all have realistic paths forward. The "Exactly 3" bracket at 3.50 could be the sweet spot.

Will an English team win the UCL? - Yes: 1.80 / No: 2.10

The Players Championship: Golf's "Fifth Major"

The 52nd Players Championship tees off Thursday, March 12th at the iconic Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass. Forty-six of the top 50 players in the Official World Golf Ranking will tee it up, including the entire top 10. The $25 million purse is the richest on tour, with $4.5 million going to the winner.

Both Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler are trying to become the first golfers to win the Players title three times at TPC Sawgrass, and join Jack Nicklaus as the only three-time winner of the event. McIlroy withdrew from last week's Arnold Palmer Invitational because of back spasms, adding uncertainty to his status.

The Iconic 17th Hole

TPC Sawgrass's island green par-3 17th is the most famous hole in golf — and PREDICT has loaded it with markets.

Hole in One on 17th Hole Day 1? - Yes: 8.00 / No: 1.07. Long-shot territory, but aces on 17 are part of Players Championship lore.

How many balls in the water on 17th Hole Day 1?

  • 12 or more: 1.33
  • 14 or more: 1.91
  • 16 or more: 3.25
  • 18 or more: 5.00
  • 20 or more: 10.00

Total balls in the water on 17th Hole (all 4 rounds)?

  • 40 or more: 1.40
  • 45 or more: 2.75
  • 50 or more: 5.00
  • 55 or more: 17.00

How many bogeys or worse on 17th Hole Day 1?

  • 18 or more: 2.00
  • 20 or more: 3.20
  • 22 or more: 4.50
  • 24 or more: 8.00

Wind conditions at TPC Sawgrass are notoriously variable. On calm days, the 17th plays like a routine iron shot; when the Atlantic breeze picks up, it becomes one of the most terrifying shots in golf.

Scottie Scheffler on the 17th

Market: What will Scottie Scheffler do on the 17th hole in Round 1?

  • Green in Regulation: 1.15
  • Par: 1.40
  • Birdie: 4.50
  • Tee shot into the Water: 10.00
  • Double Bogey or worse: 13.00
  • Hole in one: 501.00
  • Closest to the pin Day 1: 67.00

Rory McIlroy on the 17th

Market: What will Rory McIlroy do on the 17th hole in Round 1?

  • Green in Regulation: 1.16
  • Par: 1.40
  • Birdie: 4.50
  • Tee shot into the Water: 8.00
  • Double Bogey or worse: 11.00
  • Hole in one: 501.00

McIlroy's "tee shot into water" at 8.00 is slightly shorter than Scheffler's 10.00, likely reflecting concerns about his back issue.

Scheffler, McIlroy & Fleetwood Combo

Will Scheffler, McIlroy & Fleetwood all hit GIR on 17th in Round 1? - Yes: 1.66 / No: 2.10. All three are elite iron players, but the 17th is no ordinary approach shot.

Will Shane Lowry put his tee shot in the water on 17 on Day 1 or 2? - Yes: 4.33 / No: 1.20

Tournament Specials

Market: Players Championship Tournament Specials

  • Either Scheffler or McIlroy in the last group on Sunday: 2.75
  • Hovland, Lowry, Matsuyama & Scott all make the cut: 3.25
  • Scheffler top American & McIlroy top Irish player: 5.50
  • Åberg, Morikawa & Schauffele all finish top 20: 8.00
  • Scheffler & McIlroy both top 5: 8.00
  • Scheffler, McIlroy & Fleetwood all top 10: 13.00
  • Scheffler to get a hole in one: 76.00

Scottie Scheffler winning margin? - 1 stroke or more: 4.50 / 2 strokes or more: 6.00 / 3 strokes or more: 8.00 / Win in a playoff: 29.00

Oscars 2026: The Night Arrives

Sunday, March 15th is finally here, the 98th Academy Awards at the Dolby Theatre, hosted by Conan O'Brien. The sixteen nominations received by Sinners are the most in Oscar history, and the ceremony features a brand-new competitive category: Best Casting.

The SAG Actor Awards threw the Best Actor race into chaos when Michael B. Jordan upset Timothée Chalamet. The question: did it shift enough votes during final balloting?

The Big Four

Best Picture: One Battle After Another: 1.33 / Sinners: 4.20 / Hamnet: 17.00

Best Director: Paul Thomas Anderson: 1.11 / Ryan Coogler: 15.00

Best Actor: Timothée Chalamet: 1.85 / Michael B. Jordan: 2.75 / Leonardo DiCaprio: 9.00

Best Actress: Jessie Buckley: 1.14 / Rose Byrne: 9.00

Europa League: Thursday Goals Markets

Thursday, March 12th brings Europa League Round of 16 first legs.

Market: How many goals in Thursday's Europa League? (All Games)

  • Over 19.5: 1.50 / Under: 2.50
  • Over 21.5: 2.00 / Under: 1.80
  • Over 23.5: 3.25 / Under: 1.33

How many goals in the 8pm UTC Europa League matches? (4 Games)

  • Over 9.5: 1.40 / Under: 2.75
  • Over 11.5: 2.10 / Under: 1.70
  • Over 13.5: 4.33 / Under: 1.20

Premier League Darts Night 6: Nottingham

Thursday also delivers Night 6 of the Premier League Darts from Nottingham. Josh Rock hit a nine-dart finish on Night 4 and Stephen Bunting took the weekly title, keeping the standings wide open.

180s Specials

Market: Night 6 - 180s Specials

  • Over 23.5 total 180s: 1.66 / Under: 2.20
  • Over 25.5 total 180s: 2.20 / Under: 1.66
  • Over 27.5 total 180s: 3.50 / Under: 1.27
  • 4+ 180s in each match: 1.75
  • 5+ 180s in each match: 3.30
  • Any player to throw 6+ 180s: 1.65
  • Any player to throw 7+ 180s: 3.00
  • Each player to throw 1+ 180s: 1.40
  • Each player to throw 2+ 180s: 5.00

Checkout Specials

Will there be a 170 checkout? - Yes: 4.33 / No: 1.20

WWE: Rey de Reyes Guest Appearance

Market: WWE Superstar guest appearance at Rey de Reyes 2026?

  • Rey Mysterio: 3.75
  • Dragon Lee: 4.50
  • Santos Escobar: 4.50
  • Rey Fenix: 5.00
  • Penta: 5.50
  • Andrade: 6.00
  • John Cena: 17.00
  • The Undertaker: 26.00

Rey Mysterio at 3.75 is the natural pick for a Mexican-themed show, the lucha libre legend appearing at Rey de Reyes would be a marquee moment.

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