Formula 1 is back. After a month-long hiatus forced by the cancellation of the Bahrain and Saudi Arabian Grands Prix, the sport returns to the United States for the 2026 Crypto.com Miami Grand Prix — the fourth race of the season and the first of three on American soil.
Kimi Antonelli arrives in Miami as championship leader after consecutive wins in China and Japan, making him the youngest F1 championship leader. The Italian has quickly become one of the defining stories of the 2026 season.
Finally, the fourth race of the 2026 F1 season is coming up! The Miami Grand Prix feels like a restart of the current championship. Teams have had over a month to develop their cars — the unplanned break meant teams were allowed to continue their R&D work, meaning we might see major changes in teams' approaches to the rest of the season starting with Miami.
Bet on every F1 market at Duelbits Sportsbook.
Odds correct at time of writing and subject to change.
| Detail | Information |
|---|---|
| Race | 2026 Crypto.com Miami Grand Prix |
| Round | 4 of 24 |
| Circuit | Miami International Autodrome, Florida, USA |
| Circuit Length | 5.412 km |
| Laps | 57 |
| Corners | 19 |
| Weekend Format | Sprint Weekend |
| Sprint Race | Saturday 2 May |
| Race Day | Sunday 3 May |
| Lights Out | 15:00 ET / 20:00 BST / 21:00 CET |
| Broadcast | Sky Sports F1 (UK) / ESPN (USA) |
All odds in decimal format. Check Duelbits Sportsbook under Motor Sports → Formula 1 for live prices.
| Driver | Team | Approx. Decimal Odds |
|---|---|---|
| George Russell | Mercedes | ~2.30 |
| Kimi Antonelli | Mercedes | ~2.40 |
| Oscar Piastri | McLaren | ~10.00 |
| Lando Norris | McLaren | ~12.00 |
| Charles Leclerc | Ferrari | ~15.00 |
| Lewis Hamilton | Ferrari | ~17.00 |
| Max Verstappen | Red Bull | ~36.00 |
Live odds available on Duelbits Sportsbook - prices update continuously through the race weekend.
Mercedes lead the Constructors' Championship by 35 points with Ferrari their nearest rivals through the first three race weekends. George Russell won Australia. Antonelli won China and Japan. The Silver Arrows were miles ahead of the pack.
Several important regulation changes have been made since the Japanese Grand Prix. For qualifying, drivers can now harvest less energy per lap, down from 8 MJ to 7 MJ, which should bring more flat-out running instead of constant recharging. The super-clip has more power (350kW instead of 250kW) but is limited to 2-4 seconds per lap. For the race, the boost mode is capped at an extra 150kW to prevent sudden speed differences between cars, with the MGU-K delivering full power only in acceleration zones.
These changes add an element of unpredictability to an already fascinating weekend, particularly given the Sprint format, which limits available practice data.
Limited practice at the Sprint Race weekend format increases unpredictability and puts greater emphasis on execution, perhaps opening the door for Verstappen and Red Bull to climb up the order.
Sprint weekends compress the usual pace-finding process into less track time. Teams have fewer practice sessions to gather data, which means car setup decisions carry higher stakes. The Sprint Race on Saturday (roughly one-third of Grand Prix distance, approximately 100km) also creates additional tactical complexity, teams must consider whether to push fully in the Sprint or preserve resources for Sunday's main event.
For bettors, the Sprint format makes podium finish markets more interesting than straight race wins — a driver can score Sprint points and race points across the weekend, creating layered value.
Kimi Antonelli has marginally longer odds than George Russell this weekend, which the young Italian could argue is a little unfair. He has taken pole and won each of the last two races. Miami is also a happy hunting ground for Antonelli after his sprint pole at this track 12 months ago. Already with several records to his name this year, the Mercedes youngster certainly has appeal at the co-favourite price.
The case for Antonelli is momentum. Two consecutive poles. Two consecutive wins. Championship leader by a margin that tells you he hasn't just won, he's been dominant. His Japanese victory made him the youngest F1 championship leader in the sport's history. At a circuit where he showed exceptional sprint pace last season, the 20-year-old Italian arrives in the best form of any driver on the grid.
Verdict: The most compelling outright win bet. Momentum and pace both point to Antonelli. The slight price disadvantage to Russell reflects lingering uncertainty about the young driver's ability to back up a hot streak, but his form says otherwise.
George Russell is the pre-race favourite in a car that was miles ahead of the pack in the first three races. The Briton won the Australian Grand Prix but fell to fourth in Japan, a result that shifted the narrative in Antonelli's direction. Russell is under pressure after losing ground and needs a strong response in Miami to halt his teammate's surge and reassert his position in the championship battle.
Russell is a measured, consistent performer who rarely makes mistakes. In a Sprint weekend where execution is paramount, his experience edge over Antonelli could matter. He also has the psychological motivation of a teammate overtaking him in the standings, few things sharpen a racing driver's focus.
Verdict: Solid bet at near-identical odds to Antonelli. If you believe in Mercedes dominance rather than one specific driver, consider a market covering both, though the value there is limited at these prices.
McLaren showed pace in Japan through Oscar Piastri and will hope to be in the mix again. Piastri won this race 12 months ago and arrives with both the confidence of a previous Miami winner and an upgraded car. McLaren will bring an updated car to Miami, hoping to compete against the Mercedes works team. The Woking team have had success with mid-season upgrades in recent history, and it wouldn't be a surprise if they took a major step forward this weekend.
After the Mercedes drivers, McLaren's Piastri has odds on winning in Miami at 10.00, while Norris has a slight disadvantage at 12.00. The upgrade narrative is the critical variable, if McLaren's package has genuinely closed the gap to Mercedes, 10.00 becomes exceptional value. If not, it's a speculative bet on pace that hasn't yet been demonstrated in 2026.
Verdict: The most interesting non-Mercedes bet. Defending champion circuit winner, upgraded car, proven pace. At 10.00 this is where serious each-way value sits.
Norris could also feature given his history at this circuit, where he claimed his maiden win in 2024. The 2025 world champion arrives knowing this track better than any driver on the grid in terms of race-winning momentum, his maiden victory here in 2024 launched the most significant chapter of his career.
Norris' McLaren is bound to be more competitive than it was earlier in the season. He finished fifth in Japan, ahead of Hamilton and closer to the leaders than the McLaren's pace suggested early in the year. With upgrades incoming and a track he knows well, 12.00 represents real value if you believe McLaren's gap to Mercedes has genuinely closed.
Verdict: Strong each-way play. Two-time Miami champion circuit form (2024 winner), meaningful upgrades incoming, and a price that reflects his difficult season start rather than his capability.
Charles Leclerc has two podiums this season and is on the board as a genuine contender. Ferrari will also have an updated version of its car, and Leclerc and Hamilton will look to stay within striking distance of the Mercedes drivers in the World Drivers' Championship.
Ferrari's upgrade trajectory is the question mark. They've been competitive enough for podiums but haven't challenged for wins in 2026. If Miami's regulation changes, particularly the power deployment adjustments, suit Ferrari's chassis philosophy, 15.00 has genuine appeal.
Verdict: Each-way play at 15.00. Include in exotic multi-driver bets but not a compelling straight win bet in the current pecking order.
Hamilton started the year well but was a long way off Leclerc in Japan. Ferrari's improvement hasn't seen Hamilton in legitimate contention for race wins just yet, and the seven-time world champion has never finished on the podium in Miami.
The Miami track has never produced a Hamilton podium in four attempts, a remarkable statistic for one of the greatest drivers in history. This isn't a course that suits his driving style in the way Spa or Silverstone do. At 17.00, there are better options in the market.
Verdict: The track record against him is a genuine concern. Pass at 17.00 given the alternatives available.
Verstappen is a two-time winner in Miami, the 2022 inaugural race and 2023, where his win launched a streak of 10 consecutive victories. In the current car, he's a different proposition entirely. Red Bull needed to make their car lighter. Even with turbulence behind the scenes, they should have been able to make progress during the lengthy hiatus.
While the days of Red Bull domination are clearly behind us, the odds set on Verstappen at 36.00 are quite extraordinary, considering the quality of the Dutch driver and his never-give-up attitude. If we had to pick a dark horse to win the Miami Grand Prix, it would without a doubt be Max Verstappen, with odds that pay as well as his do, it is certainly a gamble worth considering.
The Sprint Race weekend format increases unpredictability and puts greater emphasis on execution, perhaps opening the door for Verstappen and Red Bull to climb up the order.
Verdict: The most interesting longshot in the field. Two-time circuit winner, elite driving talent, potential upgrades after the break, Sprint format chaos benefits, and 36.00 is an extraordinary price for a four-time world champion who knows this track. A small stake on the outright or a prominent position in podium bets represents the best value in the entire market.
The Miami International Autodrome measures 5.412 kilometres and runs through sections of public roads and the stadium's parking areas, measuring 5.412 kilometres and raced over 57 laps. It includes 19 corners and three long straights. The Miami International Autodrome was the 11th different racetrack in the United States to host a Formula 1 Grand Prix.
The dry tyres for the 2026 Miami Grand Prix will be the C3 as the Hard compound, C4 as the Medium, and C5 as the Soft. The three softest compounds in Pirelli's range were chosen, reflecting the track's characteristics.
The circuit's street-style characteristics, despite being purpose-built, it was designed to replicate the challenges of a street circuit, mean that walls are close and mistakes are costly. Safety car periods are common at Miami, which can dramatically alter race outcomes and create opportunities for drivers running alternative strategies.
| Year | Winner | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull |
| 2023 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull |
| 2024 | Lando Norris | McLaren |
| 2025 | Oscar Piastri | McLaren |
McLaren have won the last two Miami Grands Prix. Both of their drivers have a win here. In a race where their upgrades may close the gap to Mercedes, that circuit familiarity is relevant context for every bet you place.
| Bet | Selection | Odds | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race Winner | Kimi Antonelli | ~2.40 | Championship momentum, back-to-back wins, Miami Sprint form |
| Each-Way Value | Oscar Piastri | ~10.00 | Defending Miami winner, McLaren upgrades, proven pace |
| Longshot | Max Verstappen | ~36.00 | Two-time circuit winner, Sprint format chaos, extraordinary price |
| Podium | Lando Norris | ~3.00-3.50 | 2024 Miami winner, McLaren upgrades, much more likely to podium than win |
| Head-to-Head | Antonelli to beat Russell | Check Duelbits | Momentum strongly favours the Italian |
Bet on all Miami Grand Prix markets at Duelbits Sportsbook. Don't forget to check Sprint Race markets for Saturday, separate betting opportunities from the Sunday main event.
Odds correct at time of writing and subject to change. Check Duelbits Sportsbook for live prices.
