Welcome to this week's PREDICT picks, where we break down the most exciting prediction markets available on Duelbits Predict. The Champions League final is set: Arsenal vs PSG in Budapest on May 30. Arsenal beat Atlético Madrid 1-0 at the Emirates on Tuesday to progress 2-1 on aggregate, their first Champions League final since 2006. PSG drew 1-1 at Bayern Munich on Wednesday, with Dembélé scoring inside three minutes, to advance 6-5 on aggregate. PSG will attempt to become the first team to retain the Champions League since Real Madrid's three-peat from 2016-2018.
The Iran war has reached a critical juncture. Trump rejected Iran's latest counterproposal, calling it "totally unacceptable," while Tehran vowed to "never bow". Three US destroyers passed through the Strait of Hormuz on May 7, dodging an Iranian missile attack, with Trump warning "if there's no ceasefire, you're just going to have to look at one big glow coming out of Iran". Trump aides say he is now more seriously considering a resumption of major combat operations than at any point in recent weeks.
The biggest club match of the year is set. Arsenal are chasing their first-ever Champions League title. PSG are chasing back-to-back European Cups.
Bruno Fernandes break EPL assists record? - Yes: 2.20 / No: 1.65. Fernandes needs 21+ assists to break Henry and De Bruyne's record of 20.
PFA Player of the Year? - Bruno Fernandes: 2.38 / Declan Rice: 2.50 / David Raya: 4.50 / Erling Haaland: 11.00. Rice completed 83 passes against Atlético, the second-most by an English midfielder in a Champions League semi-final on record.
For match odds and in-play betting on the final, check out Duelbits Sportsbook.
Market: Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Dembélé has overtaken Kane as favourite after his stunning Champions League campaign, five goals in the knockout rounds alone. The final could be decisive.
Trump has grown increasingly frustrated with what he perceives as division in Iranian leadership preventing substantial concessions on nuclear talks. Iran's proposal would defer nuclear negotiations to later stages, focusing first on ending the war, lifting sanctions, and ending the US blockade, a non-starter for Washington.
US Central Command said it has turned around 58 commercial vessels attempting to enter or exit Iranian ports. WTI crude surged to $100.30 per barrel on Monday as Brent hit $105.76.
US x Iran peace deal by…? - May 31: 4.50 / June 30: 2.40 / December 31: 1.44
Trump announces Hormuz blockade lifted by…? - May 22: 6.00 / May 31: 4.00 / June 30: 1.57
Where will next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen? - Pakistan: 1.80 / No meeting by June 30: 2.75
Iran closes its airspace by…? - May 15: 13.00 / May 31: 2.88. A major new market, airspace closure would signal imminent escalation.
US invade Iran before 2027? - Yes: 3.75 / No: 1.27
Hormuz traffic normal by…? — Before July 1: 2.88 / Before August 1: 2.20
WTI year-end high? - $150+: 3.75 / $200+: 6.00
Real Madrid manager for 2026/27? - Mourinho: 1.20 / Pochettino: 7.00 / Deschamps: 10.00 / Klopp: 12.00. Mourinho's odds have shortened dramatically to 1.20, a third spell at the Bernabéu looks near-certain.
Next Chelsea manager? - Iraola: 3.50 / Xabi Alonso: 4.50 / Fàbregas: 6.00
Next Liverpool manager? - Xabi Alonso: 1.73. The Basque has become the overwhelming favourite.
Next Man City manager? - Enzo Maresca: 1.73 / Vincent Kompany: 3.50
Man Utd manager for 2026/27? - Michael Carrick: 1.20
Starmer's odds of leaving before July 1 have collapsed to 1.53, the market is pricing in a near-certain departure. The Iran war, cost of living crisis, and internal Labour tensions are all contributing factors.
Next UK General Election - most seats? - Reform: 2.00 / Labour: 4.33 / Restore Britain: 7.00
World leaders out in 2026? - Gustavo Petro: 1.02 / Keir Starmer: 1.15 / Netanyahu: 2.20 / Lula: 4.50
2028 Presidential Election? - Marco Rubio: 4.50 / J.D. Vance: 5.00 / Gavin Newsom: 5.50. A major shift, Rubio has overtaken Vance as the favourite for the first time.
California Governor? - Xavier Becerra: 2.00 / Tom Steyer: 3.00
LA Mayor? - Karen Bass: 1.95 / Spencer Pratt: 3.00 / Nithya Raman: 5.50. Bass has reclaimed the lead from Raman.
Sam Altman testify against Elon Musk? - Yes: 1.08 / No: 9.00
Elon Musk win case against Altman? - Yes: 2.25 / No: 1.57
That's your complete rundown for the week of May 12-19, 2026. The Champions League final is set, Arsenal vs PSG in Budapest on May 30. The Iran war hangs on a knife edge as Trump considers resuming strikes. Oil is back above $100 and the dual blockade shows no sign of ending. From Budapest to the Strait of Hormuz, Duelbits PREDICT has a market for everything. Head over and make your picks before the action unfolds.
