The 2026 FIFA World Cup's expanded 48-team format delivered on its most outrageous promise: the Round of 16 is genuinely wide open, the giants have been slain early, and the bracket is richer for it.
Germany were sent packing by Paraguay on penalties after a 1-1 draw, while the Netherlands suffered the same fate against Morocco, also decided from the spot. Egypt needed a shootout of their own to see off Australia, and Cape Verde's remarkable debut run finally came to an end against Argentina, but not before pushing the defending champions to extra time. Belgium produced the wildest comeback of the round, rallying from two goals down to beat Senegal 3-2 after extra time.
What remains is one of the finest Round of 16 fields in World Cup history, every remaining team has earned the right to be here, and every match has something to say about who wins in Paris on July 19.
Bet on all World Cup 2026 Round of 16 markets at Duelbits.
All odds from Duelbits Sportsbook, correct at time of writing and subject to change.
| Team | Duelbits Odds |
|---|---|
| France | 2.85 |
| Argentina | 5.00 |
| Spain | 6.95 |
| England | 10.90 |
| Brazil | 12.80 |
| Portugal | 13.00 |
| Colombia | 25.70 |
| USA | 28.50 |
| Mexico | 28.80 |
| Morocco | 33.00 |
| Norway | 34.00 |
| Belgium | 40.00 |
| Switzerland | 57.00 |
| Canada | 240.00 |
| Egypt | 240.00 |
| Paraguay | 375.00 |
| Player | Team | Duelbits Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Messi, Lionel | Argentina | 2.15 |
| Mbappé, Kylian | France | 2.25 |
| Kane, Harry | England | 17.00 |
| Oyarzabal, Mikiel | Spain | 31.00 |
| Haaland, Erling | Norway | 36.00 |
| Vinicius Junior | Brazil | 36.00 |
| Dembélé, Ousmane | France | 46.00 |
| # | Date | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sat Jul 4 | Canada vs Morocco | 5.20 | 3.55 | 1.81 | Houston |
| 2 | Sat Jul 4 | France vs Paraguay | 1.18 | 7.30 | 21.00 | Philadelphia |
| 3 | Sun Jul 5 | Brazil vs Norway | 1.84 | 3.75 | 4.30 | New Jersey |
| 4 | Sun Jul 5 | Mexico vs England | 3.15 | 3.15 | 2.44 | Mexico City |
| 5 | Mon Jul 6 | Portugal vs Spain | 4.05 | 3.60 | 1.93 | Dallas |
| 6 | Mon Jul 6 | USA vs Belgium | 2.70 | 3.35 | 2.60 | Seattle |
| 7 | Tue Jul 7 | Argentina vs Egypt | 1.35 | 4.90 | 9.70 | Atlanta |
| 8 | Tue Jul 7 | Switzerland vs Colombia | 3.40 | 3.20 | 2.25 | Vancouver |
Bold = current Duelbits match winner. Confirmed Duelbits odds shown for fixtures 3-8; fixtures 1-2 estimated from outright market context.
Canada 5.20 / Draw 3.55 / Morocco 1.81
Morocco's journey to this point is extraordinary. They eliminated the Netherlands on penalties in the Round of 32, and arrive in Houston with form, confidence, and an organisational cohesion that has made them the tournament's most compelling defensive unit since Qatar 2022.
After its historic performance at Qatar 2022, an impressive display against Brazil earlier in this tournament and its AFCON title, Morocco once again looks capable of challenging the world's elite.
Canada's 240.00 tournament winner odds versus Morocco's 33.00 tell the story clearly, Morocco are significant favourites for this match, likely around 1.65-1.75. Canada's significance as a co-host nation adds crowd support but not necessarily quality.
Best bet: Morocco to win (approximate 1.70). Their defensive resilience, quality through Hakimi and Ziyech, and tournament momentum are substantial advantages against a Canada side that hasn't demonstrated consistent attacking quality.
France 1.18 / Draw 7.30 / Norway 21.00
France at 2.85 to win the entire tournament are the rational pre-tournament favourite, and this match reflects that gulf. Paraguay at 375.00 for the tournament are given almost no chance of going further.
But Paraguay eliminated Germany on penalties, and that matters analytically. They know how to sit deep, absorb pressure, and hurt you on the counter. The question isn't whether France win this match, they almost certainly will, but whether Mbappé (Golden Boot: 2.25) and Griezmann can convert early enough to avoid anxiety.
The tournament bracket leaves open the possibility of another World Cup final between Argentina and France.
Best bet: France -1.5 handicap or France first-half winner. Mbappé has the quality to put this away within the first 45 minutes against a Paraguay side that will concede space on the break.
Brazil 1.84 / Draw 3.75 / Norway 4.30
This is the match that jumps off the R16 bracket at anyone who understands the players involved. Erling Haaland on one side. Vinicius Junior and Brazil's attack on the other. Both are at 36.00 for the Golden Boot, a market that may shift significantly after 90 minutes at MetLife.
Tan: Japan are more than ready for their World Cup rematch with Brazil...Vickery: Ancelotti says Brazil are finally on the right track. Is it enough to win a World Cup?
Norway's presence here is genuinely remarkable. They beat Iraq 4-1 in the group stage with Haaland on the scoresheet, and Haaland's ability to hold up play, link the midfield, and convert is different from any other number 9 in this tournament. Norway's collective quality around him is middling, but Haaland alone creates a floor of competitiveness that most 4.30 underdogs don't have.
Brazil at 12.80 for the tournament (fifth-longest price in the field) tells you the market believes they're a genuine R16 exit risk at that price. Ancelotti's side have had an inconsistent group stage despite advancing.
Best bet: Both Teams to Score (Yes). Haaland is too good to be blanked across 90 minutes, and Brazil have the attacking quality to score regardless. The over 2.5 goals market is also worth examining given both sides' tendencies.
Mexico 3.15 / Draw 3.15 / England 2.44
This is the most emotionally loaded fixture of the entire Round of 16. The Estadio Azteca at capacity hosts 80,000+ of the most passionate fans in world football, all of them wearing green, all of them creating an atmosphere unlike any other major ground on earth. England visit Azteca having previously never won there.
Olley, Hamilton: Still uninspiring, but England avoid nightmare World Cup knockout scenario...Kane delivers for England at vital moment.
Mexico hosts England on Sunday and the USMNT will take on Belgium on Monday night.
The market pricing is fascinating: Mexico 3.15 / Draw 3.15 / England 2.44. England are away favourites at the Azteca, a venue that has historically taken teams out of their comfort zone through thin altitude air, noise, and heat. England's goal difference and group performance suggest they're the objectively better team. But Azteca neutralises objective quality.
Best bet: Mexico to qualify. Either Mexico win or the game goes to extra time/penalties, Mexico in that environment, with the Azteca behind them, will grind for every possible result. The draw-or-Mexico money in the three-way market at a combined ~2.60 implied probability offers real value.
Spain 1.93 / Draw 3.60 / Portugal 4.05
The remaining contenders include the three host nations, United States, Canada and Mexico, along with global powers such as Lionel Messi's Argentina, Cristiano Ronaldo's Portugal, Kylian Mbappé's France, Brazil and Spain.
Spain at 6.95 for the tournament and 1.93 for this match are correctly priced as the superior team based on group stage form. They beat Saudi Arabia 4-0, beat Uruguay 1-0, and drew with Cape Verde while already qualified. Their youth and positional structure, Lamine Yamal, Pedri, and Gavi running the midfield, is the best unit of its type at this tournament.
Portugal's path has been complex, they drew with Colombia, beat Uzbekistan 5-0, and have relied heavily on Ronaldo's legacy status while younger players around him have grown into the tournament.
Best bet: Spain to win at 1.93. The quality gap between Spain's integrated system and Portugal's individual-reliant approach is real and measurable. Spain at 1.93 is the most confident single selection on the entire R16 card.
USA 2.70 / Draw 3.35 / Belgium 2.60
Belgium produced the wildest comeback of the round, rallying from two goals down to beat Senegal 3-2 after extra time.
Belgium won it the hard way. A 2-0 deficit against Senegal in extra time, reversed to 3-2. That kind of resilience either signals character or suggests a team that will struggle against quality opponents who don't let them back into games.
The USA at Seattle have genuine home advantage, Lumen Field will be predominantly American, in one of the US's most enthusiastic sports cities. Carlisle: USMNT's multifaceted win bodes well for World Cup hopes...Borden: Riding high at World Cup, the time is now for the USMNT.
Tillman has been outstanding for the USA, and the red card issue for Balogun creates a team management question that Belgium will try to exploit.
Best bet: This is the match to avoid confident picks on. At 2.70/2.60, neither team is priced as a clear favourite. A draw at 3.35 has genuine value, this match has penalty shootout written all over it. Back USA or draw combination for each-way coverage.
Argentina 1.35 / Draw 4.90 / Egypt 9.70
Argentina at 1.35 is the shortest price on the entire R16 card, reflecting the market's overwhelming faith in Messi's Argentina. Cape Verde pushed them to extra time, but Argentina came through when it mattered.
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Messi leads the Golden Boot race at 2.15 heading into this match, motivation and form in perfect alignment. Argentina rested him in the final group stage game, suggesting he arrives at the Azteca fresh.
Egypt are in the Round of 16 after eliminating Australia on penalties, a result driven by Mohamed Salah's leadership more than collective quality. Salah is capable of a moment that changes this match, but Egypt limiting Argentina across 90 minutes requires a defensive performance beyond what they've shown.
Best bet: Argentina to win and Messi to score. The Golden Boot leader at home in the knockout stage against an Egypt team whose defensive record doesn't suggest clean sheets. The combination bet at approximately 3.00+ for both Messi goal and Argentina win reflects genuine probability.
Colombia 2.25 / Draw 3.20 / Switzerland 3.40
Colombia rounded out the bracket with a win over Ghana to close out the round.
Colombia at 2.25 are the favourites here, and at 25.70 for the tournament, they're one of the few remaining teams with genuine each-way value for the overall competition. They have pace, technique, and a tournament identity that makes them dangerous in knockout football.
Switzerland at 57.00 for the tournament tells you everything about what the market thinks of their ceiling, despite advancing competitively. Their defensive solidity is real, but Colombia's attacking quality through Diaz and Vidal creates consistent threat that Switzerland will struggle to contain across 90 minutes.
Best bet: Colombia to win at 2.25. Their tournament form, overall squad quality, and Colombia's historically strong knockout round record make them the sensible selection.
| Match | Selection | Approx Odds | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canada vs Morocco | Morocco to win | ~1.70 | Morocco eliminated Netherlands, tournament dark horses, superior quality |
| France vs Paraguay | France first-half win | ~1.50 | France quality + Mbappé too powerful for Paraguay defensively |
| Brazil vs Norway | Both Teams to Score | ~1.85 | Haaland cannot be blanked; Brazil will score regardless |
| Mexico vs England | Draw or Mexico (double chance) | ~1.75 | Azteca environment neutralises England quality advantage |
| Portugal vs Spain | Spain to win | 1.93 | Best value single selection on the card, Spain's superiority is structural |
| USA vs Belgium | Draw (extra time/penalties) | 3.35 | Evenly matched; this match screams shootout |
| Argentina vs Egypt | Argentina to win | 1.35 | Messi leading Golden Boot, Argentina defending champions, 1.35 is the market consensus |
| Switzerland vs Colombia | Colombia to win | 2.25 | Attacking quality and tournament experience make Colombia the right selection |
Bet on all World Cup 2026 Round of 16 markets at Duelbits World Cup 26.
For our full tournament previews, see our World Cup 2026 winner predictions, World Cup 2026 Golden Boot guide, and the World Cup 26 Showdown free-to-play guide, predict R16 correct scores for Matchday 5 and compete for your share of $150,000.
What are the World Cup 2026 Round of 16 fixtures? Canada vs Morocco (Jul 4), France vs Paraguay (Jul 4), Brazil vs Norway (Jul 5), Mexico vs England (Jul 5), Spain vs Portugal (Jul 6), USA vs Belgium (Jul 6), Argentina vs Egypt (Jul 7), Switzerland vs Colombia (Jul 7).
Who are the R16 favourites? Argentina shortest at 1.35 vs Egypt. France short favourites vs Paraguay. Spain at 1.93 vs Portugal. Brazil 1.84 vs Norway.
Who were the biggest shocks in the Round of 32? Germany eliminated by Paraguay on penalties. The Netherlands eliminated by Morocco on penalties. Both were genuine World Cup contenders expected to advance.
Who leads the Golden Boot? Messi leads at 2.15, Mbappé second at 2.25 on Duelbits heading into R16.
What are the current tournament winner odds? France 2.85, Argentina 5.00, Spain 6.95, England 10.90, Brazil 12.80, Portugal 13.00.
What is World Cup Showdown? Our free-to-play correct score prediction game running across every Matchday of World Cup 2026, predict R16 correct scores for Matchday 5 and compete for your share of the $150,000 prize pool.
Where can I bet on World Cup R16? All 8 Round of 16 matches with full market coverage at Duelbits World Cup 26.
